Revenues: $ 2.5 billion Debt: $ 0.00
Cash: $ 647.2 million Num Shares: 37.3 million

China Yuchai Intl Ltd (CYD)

Mayukh's estimated value: $29.33 Market price: $14.37 104.00 %
15th Apr 2013

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Trends

Relative Value

CYD GM TM FSRV CVG KSU
1yr performance 57.00% 26.17% 2.35% 43.13% 30.39% -6.13%
Price/Earnings 7.06 14.41 7.23 0.0 37.54 31.66
Price/Book 0.79 1.42 1.29 10.04 1.64 3.5
EV/EBITDA 0.72 1.81 11.92 14.09 11.13 15.28
ROE 0.11% 0.1% 0.18% -0.09% 0.04% 0.11%
ROA 4.80% 0.03% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.07%
Debt 0.00 36.2 billion 210.7 billion 378.1 million 61.1 million 2.2 billion
Cash 647.2 million 27.9 billion 45.9 billion 142.7 million 663.7 million 429.5 million
Analyst Expected 5 yr Revenue Growth 10.00% 18.7% 33.7% 14.33% 10.0% 16.35%

Valuation details

PastFuture
Years2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Revenue Growth Estimate27.44%-0.24%-12.19%-1.0%-1.0%-1.0%-1.0%-1.0%1.2%1.4%1.6%1.8%2.0%
Revenues2.5 billion2.5 billion2.2 billion2.1 billion2.1 billion2.1 billion2.1 billion2.0 billion2.1 billion2.1 billion2.1 billion2.2 billion2.2 billion
Operating Margins11.7%9.42%8.31%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%6.8%6.4%6.0%
Operating Income287.7 million231.2 million179.1 million105.9 million104.9 million103.8 million102.8 million101.8 million103.0 million104.4 million144.3 million138.2 million132.2 million
Taxes18.6%17.5%0.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%
Sales Cap3.062.722.28-0.30-0.30-0.30-0.30-0.300.570.840.921.522.72
Reinvestment Rate0.0%175.0%21.0%80.0%80.0%80.0%80.0%80.0%52.0%44.0%36.0%28.0%20.0%
Reinvestments0.00120.9 million49.4 million72.0 million71.3 million70.6 million69.9 million69.2 million42.8 million34.5 million36.4 million25.2 million15.9 million
Free Cashflows86.9 million- 495.6 million0.0018.0 million17.8 million17.7 million17.5 million17.3 million39.5 million43.9 million64.6 million64.7 million63.5 million
Cost of Capital10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%
Present Value Cashflows0.0.000.0.000.0.0016.4 million14.8 million13.2 million11.9 million10.7 million22.1 million22.4 million30.4 million27.2 million24.8 million

Summary

PV Terminal Value: 393.6 million
Operating Value: 587.4 million
Cash: 505.8 million
Debt: 0.00
Num of shares: 37.3 million